Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.688740e-03 0.001874 0.002061 0.002263 0.002474 0.002688 0.002922
2024-12-22 1.381337e-03 0.001646 0.001922 0.002229 0.002559 0.002901 0.003282
2024-12-29 1.178131e-03 0.001504 0.001855 0.002255 0.002695 0.003160 0.003685
2025-01-05 1.017136e-03 0.001392 0.001807 0.002292 0.002836 0.003420 0.004089
2025-01-12 8.921673e-04 0.001308 0.001781 0.002347 0.002991 0.003693 0.004505
2025-01-19 7.250567e-04 0.001157 0.001668 0.002292 0.003017 0.003819 0.004757
2025-01-26 6.058046e-04 0.001053 0.001599 0.002282 0.003089 0.003990 0.005056
2025-02-02 5.027915e-04 0.000958 0.001534 0.002270 0.003152 0.004150 0.005340
2025-02-09 4.614574e-04 0.000941 0.001561 0.002367 0.003342 0.004453 0.005784
2025-02-16 3.894697e-04 0.000872 0.001519 0.002374 0.003423 0.004628 0.006083
2025-02-23 2.967892e-04 0.000762 0.001413 0.002297 0.003399 0.004678 0.006234
2025-03-02 2.234476e-04 0.000669 0.001324 0.002235 0.003388 0.004739 0.006395
2025-03-09 1.659059e-04 0.000604 0.001286 0.002261 0.003514 0.004998 0.006830
2025-03-16 1.067987e-04 0.000520 0.001215 0.002241 0.003584 0.005193 0.007197
2025-03-23 7.067229e-05 0.000468 0.001186 0.002276 0.003724 0.005476 0.007670
2025-03-30 4.392068e-05 0.000424 0.001165 0.002320 0.003876 0.005773 0.008163
2025-04-06 2.572011e-05 0.000390 0.001156 0.002379 0.004046 0.006094 0.008686
2025-04-13 6.251280e-06 0.000318 0.001073 0.002327 0.004070 0.006233 0.008991
2025-04-20 2.162656e-07 0.000269 0.001023 0.002319 0.004148 0.006439 0.009374
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000225 0.000974 0.002308 0.004220 0.006634 0.009745
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000218 0.000997 0.002406 0.004439 0.007015 0.010341
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000186 0.000964 0.002415 0.004534 0.007238 0.010745
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000137 0.000880 0.002338 0.004509 0.007308 0.010958